StanCon 2020. A 24h Global Event.
StanCon Thursday, 13 August 2020.
The conference was a 24-hour event with three main sessions spanning across different time zones (British Summer Time, Eastern Time and Pacific Time).
Program
The sessions were recorded and uploaded to YouTube. The plenary talks and the discussions can be found in the recording for the live sessions.
The abstracts to the talks are included in the video descriptions.
Recorded StanCon 2020 Videos on YouTube
Playlists: - Session 1 - Session 2 - Session 3 - All videos
Session 1
| BST | EST | PT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08:30 | 03:30 | 00:30 | Virtual coffee |
| 09:00 | 04:00 | 01:00 | Live welcome from StanCon UK Committee |
| 09:04 | 04:04 | 01:04 | 6 x 1 minute pitches |
| 09:10 | 04:10 | 01:10 | Plenary: Hierarchical Models for Covid - |
| identifying effects of lockdown and an R package, | |||
| Seth Flaxman, Imperial College, London | |||
| video | |||
| 09:50 | 04:50 | 01:50 | Discussion |
| 10:00 | 05:00 | 02:00 | 6 x 1 minute pitches, followed by 9 minute discussions: |
| 10:06 | 05:06 | 02:06 | Hierarchical Bayes and logistic growth: Predicting diagnosed |
| COVID19 cases and the corresponding burden on health care | |||
| systems, Brynjólfur Gauti Jónsson, Birgir Hrafnkelsson, | |||
| Jón Magnús Jónsson, Jóhanna Jakobsdóttir, | |||
| Bergdís Björg Sigurjónsdóttir,Þórarinn Jónmundsson, | |||
| Sigríður Haraldsdóttir, Unnur A. Valdimarsdóttir, | |||
| Thor Aspelund, Directorate of Health (Iceland), | |||
| Center of Public Health Sciences (University of Iceland), | |||
| Department of Mathematics (University of Iceland), | |||
| Icelandic Heart Association, National University Hospital of Iceland | |||
| video | |||
| 10:15 | 05:15 | 02:15 | Process fault detection using Stan, Jerzy Baranowski, |
| Waldemar Bauer, Rafał Mularczyk, Bartłomiej Gondek, | |||
| AGH University of Science & Technology, Kraków, Poland | |||
| video | |||
| 10:24 | 05:24 | 02:24 | Failure prediction in hierarchical equipment system: |
| spline fitting naval ship failure, Hyunji Moon, Jinwoo Choi, | |||
| Hyeonseop Lee, Seoul National University | |||
| video | |||
| 10:33 | 05:33 | 02:33 | baggr: a new meta-analysis package using Stan, |
| Witold Wiecek and Rachael Meager, London School of Economics | |||
| video | |||
| 10:42 | 05:42 | 02:42 | Towards an Interface for Streaming Stan, |
| Simon Maskell and Alessandro Varsi, University of Liverpool | |||
| video | |||
| 10:51 | 05:51 | 02:51 | Enforcing stationarity through the prior in vector autoregressions, |
| Sarah Heaps, Newcastle University | |||
| video | |||
| 11:00 | 06:00 | 03:00 | Virtual coffee and poster session |
| 13:30 | 08:30 | 05:30 | End of session |
Session 2
| BST | EST | PT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16:30 | 11:30 | 08:30 | Virtual coffee |
| 17:00 | 12:00 | 09:00 | Live welcome from StanCon UK + US Committee |
| 17:10 | 12:10 | 09:10 | Code of Conduct working group, Steve Bronder and Lauren Kennedy |
| video | |||
| 17:14 | 12:14 | 09:14 | Stan Governing Body update, Jonah Gabry |
| video | |||
| 17:20 | 12:20 | 09:20 | 6 x 1 minute pitches |
| 17:32 | 12:32 | 09:32 | Developer talk 1: posteriordb: a database with data, models and |
| posteriors, Aki Vehtari, Måns Magnusson, Aalto University | |||
| video | |||
| 17:39 | 12:39 | 09:39 | Developer talk 2: Scaling Stan’s performance with reduce_sum in practice, |
| Sebastian Weber, Ben Bales, Steve Bronder, Mitzi Morris, | |||
| Rok Češnovar, Imperial College of London COVID-19 team, | |||
| Novartis Pharma AG, Basel, Switzerland, Columbia University, | |||
| University of Ljubljana | |||
| video | |||
| 17:46 | 12:46 | 09:46 | Developer talk 3: The State of GPU Computation Support for Stan, |
| Steve Bronder, Erik Štrumbelj, Rok Češnovar, Davor Sluga, | |||
| Jure Demšar, Tadej Ciglarič, Sean Talts, Columbia University, | |||
| University of Ljubljana | |||
| video | |||
| 17:53 | 12:53 | 09:53 | Developer talk 4: Approximate Bayesian inference for latent Gaussian |
| models in Stan, Charles Margossian, Aki Vehtari, Daniel Simpson, | |||
| Raj Agrawal, Columbia University, Department of Statistics; | |||
| Aalto University, Department of Computer Science; | |||
| University of Toronto, Department of Statistical Sciences; | |||
| Massachusetts Institute of Technology, CSAIL | |||
| video, code and notebook | |||
| 18:00 | 13:00 | 10:00 | Plenary: Multi-Source Information Modeling, Curation, and |
| Fusion Enabling Transdisciplinary Decision-Making: A Case for Space! | |||
| Moriba Jah, Oden Institute for Computational Engineering & Sciences | |||
| video | |||
| 18:50 | 13:50 | 10:50 | Discussion |
| 19:00 | 14:00 | 11:00 | 6 x 1 minute pitches, followed by 9 minute discussions |
| 19:06 | 14:06 | 11:06 | Using Stan for Spatial Smoothing of Regression Parameters, |
| Wade Brorsen, Bart Niyizibi, Davood Pourvina, Eunchun Park, | |||
| Oklahoma State University | |||
| video | |||
| 19:15 | 14:15 | 11:15 | Multivariate Synthetic Control to Estimate Missing Data in |
| Hierarchically Correlated Series, Sean Pinkney, Tyler Morrison, | |||
| Gaurav Shahane, Comscore, Inc. | |||
| video | |||
| 19:24 | 14:24 | 11:24 | Bayesian Causal Effect Estimation with Stan: Parametric and |
| Nonparametric Approaches, Arman Oganisian, Jason A. Roy, | |||
| University of Pennsylvania | |||
| video | |||
| 19:33 | 14:33 | 11:33 | Building effective uncertainty visualizations with Stan/brms, |
| tidybayes, and ggdist, Matthew Kay, University of Michigan | |||
| video | |||
| 19:42 | 14:42 | 11:42 | API for iterative interrogation of stanfit objects in R, |
| Jonathan Sidi, Associate Director of Modeling and Simulation at | |||
| Sage Therapeutics | |||
| video | |||
| 19:51 | 14:51 | 11:51 | Bayesian Inference without Probability Density Functions, |
| Ben Goodrich, Columbia University | |||
| video | |||
| 20:00 | 15:00 | 12:00 | Virtual coffee and poster session |
| 21:30 | 16:30 | 13:30 | End of session |
Session 3
| BST | EST | PT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 19:30 | 16:30 | Virtual coffee |
| 01:00 | 20:00 | 17:00 | Live welcome from StanCon Committee |
| 01:04 | 20:04 | 17:04 | 6 x 1 minute pitches |
| 01:10 | 20:10 | 17:10 | Plenary: STAN and US Politics, David Shor |
| video | |||
| 01:50 | 20:50 | 17:50 | Discussion |
| 02:00 | 21:00 | 18:00 | 6 x 1 minute pitches, followed by 9 minute discussions: |
| 02:06 | 21:06 | 18:06 | Spatial models for plant neighborhood dynamics in Stan, |
| Cristina Barber, Andrii Zaiats, Cara Applestein, Trevor Caughlin, | |||
| Boise State University | |||
| video | |||
| 02:15 | 21:15 | 18:15 | Stress-testing the Dawid–Skene model: Analysis of repeated |
| categorical ratings, Damjan Vukcevic, Jeffrey Pullin, Lyle Gurrin, | |||
| University of Melbourne | |||
| video | |||
| 02:24 | 21:24 | 18:24 | ArviZ, InferenceData, and NetCDF: A unified file format for Bayesians, |
| Ravin Kumar, Oriol Abril-Pla, Osvaldo Martin, Piyush Gautam, | |||
| Ari Hartikainen , Alexandre Andorra, ArviZ (all) | |||
| video (English) | |||
| video (Catalan) | |||
| video (French) | |||
| video (Finnish) | |||
| 02:33 | 21:33 | 18:33 | Orbit: Probabilistic Forecast with Exponential Smoothing, |
| Edwin Ng, Zhishi Wang, Steve Yang, Uber | |||
| video | |||
| 02:42 | 21:42 | 18:42 | Effortless frequentist covariances of posterior expectations in Stan, |
| Ryan Giordano, Tamara Brodercik, MIT | |||
| video | |||
| 02:51 | 21:51 | 18:51 | Virtual coffee and poster session |
| 05:30 | 00:30 | 21:30 | End of session |
Sponsors
We can’t do this without the support of generous sponsors!
Organizers:
- Susana Marquez. The Rockefeller Foundation.
- Daniel Lee. Generable.
- Kelli Cassidy. The University of Liverpool.
- Simon Maskell. The University of Liverpool.